U.S. soybean futures on Wednesday extended a rebound from a sharp drop earlier this week after the Argentine Ministry of Agriculture suspended the registration of agricultural exports until further notice. The movement was seen as foreshadowing a jump from 30% to 33% in grain export tariffs that Alberto Fernández’s government might announce this weekend, thus shifting exports to the United States.
Argentina's Province of La Rioja plans to initiate talks with holders of its dollar denominated 2025s after it "faced limitations" on making a coupon payment due earlier this week. The government said in statement released on Wednesday that it would make best efforts to cover the payment inside the 30-day grace period, but it will start consulting holders on ways to achieve debt sustainability. The deal was the province's debut green bond, with proceeds slated to finance the development of the Arauco Wind Farm project and other public works.
Economy Minister Martín Guzmán held in New York what he called "strategic meetings" with bank executives and investment funds that hold Argentine bonds under foreign law. Despite the total official secrecy, it was reported that representatives of BlackRock, Templeton, Pimco, Gramercy, Greylock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Bank of American, Citibank and JP Morgan attended the meeting. Alberto Fernández' government is planning to determine next week the final structure of the sovereign debt restructuring offer.
Argentina Minister of Economy Martín Guzmán, meets today in New York with representatives of banks and investment funds holding sovereign bonds regulated under foreign law. The meeting follows another held yesterday in Washington with the Deputy Director of the Western Hemisphere Department of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Julie Kozack, and the head of the Argentine mission, the Venezuelan Luis Cubeddu, both members of the technical mission that visited Buenos Aires last week.
The renewable energy company Genneia has pocketed $31 million as the first tranche of a $465 million corporate loan granted by the German Development Bank kfW. It will be destined for the Pomona II wind power plants that are already in operation and Chubut Norte II wind farm that is under construction and is estimated to be operational in September. Genneia owns 4 projects in Argentina: Rawson III, Villalonga II, Pomona II and Chubut Norte II, with an installed capacity of 66.48 MW
Argentina Economy Minister Martín Guzmán and IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva agreed to start Article IV consultations, during conversations on the sidelines of the G20 meeting in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on Saturday. The Article IV review might pave the way to changing the terms of the IMF $56bn stand-by loan for a new program. Guzmán is travelling to Washington today to hold further meetings with IMF staff.
Argentina's recession-hit economy shrank by 2.1% in 2019, the INDEC national statistics bureau said. The economy contracted by 0.3% in December compared to the same period in 2018. The hardest-hit sectors that month were financial services (-10%), and construction (-8%). On the other hand, the fishing industry grew by 13.5%. GDP had already dropped by 2.5% in 2018.
The average income of Argentine workers has slumped by 44.3% in dollar terms since 2015, according to a report by the Universidad Nacional de Avellaneda (Undav). This was predominantly due to the peso's heavy devaluation and real wage lag during the last four years. The decline was even sharper when measuring the purchasing-power of the minimum wage, which passed from representing $589 at the end of 2015 (AR$5,588 at that time) to the current $268 (AR$16,875 pesos) – a plunge of almost 55% in only four years.
The net formation of external assets of Argentine residents, known as 'capital flight', was $60 million in January, the lowest level in almost a decade, according to the last exchange balance of the Central Bank (BCRA). The 'services' account registered a currency outflow of $26 million, a sharp reduction compared to $686 million in the same month of 2019. Argentina capital flight broke the historical record in 2018 with an outflow of $27.3 billion that year.
Argentine bond prices fell 1.3% on Thursday after an IMF technical mission essentially gave the government a green light to restructure about $100 billion in bonds and loans, including $44 billion owed to the IMF. Argentine bond prices are down 4.8% so far this year. Country risk spreads 11EMJ stood 82 basis points wider at 2,117 over safe-haven U.S. Treasury paper, indicating an increase in the perceived likelihood of default.